Long-Term Care Cost Calculator: Project Your Future Expenses
Use this guide to understand the assumptions, inputs, results, and next steps behind the calculator.
Planning for long-term care (LTC) is one of the most critical and often overlooked aspects of creating a durable retirement plan. With the national median cost for an assisted living facility at $64,200 per year in 2026, and nursing homes exceeding $116,000, these expenses can quickly deplete a lifetime of savings. Failing to account for this possibility is one of the biggest financial risks retirees face.
This calculator is designed for pre-retirees and current retirees who want to quantify the potential cost of long-term care. It helps you project the future, inflation-adjusted expense of different care types and determine if your current savings strategy is on track. Understanding this number is the first step toward building a plan to protect your assets and ensure you receive the care you need.
What Long-Term Care Costs in 2026
The cost of long-term care varies dramatically based on the type of care required, your geographic location, and the level of service. Costs in major metropolitan areas are often significantly higher than the national median. This table provides a baseline for 2026 national median annual costs, which you can adjust in the calculator for your specific region.
| Type of Care | 2026 National Median Annual Cost | Who It's For |
|---|---|---|
| Homemaker Services | $71,500 | Individuals who need help with household tasks like cooking and cleaning but not hands-on personal care. |
| Home Health Aide | $75,500 | Individuals who need assistance with personal care (bathing, dressing) but can remain in their own home. |
| Assisted Living Facility | $64,200 | Individuals who need help with daily living but do not require 24/7 skilled nursing care. Includes housing, meals, and support services. |
| Nursing Home (Semi-Private Room) | $105,850 | Individuals with complex medical conditions requiring 24/7 monitoring and skilled nursing care. |
| Nursing Home (Private Room) | $116,800 | Individuals who need the highest level of care and prefer a private room for comfort and privacy. |
Source: Genworth Cost of Care Survey data, projected to 2026.
These figures represent the starting point for your calculation. The most significant financial challenge isn't just a single year's cost but the total expense over the entire duration of care, which averages three years for many individuals. A three-year stay in a private nursing home room could easily exceed $350,000 in today's dollars—and much more in the future. You can use the assisted-living-cost-calculator or nursing-home-cost-calculator for a more detailed look at specific facility types.
How to Pay for Long-Term Care: 4 Common Strategies
Once you have an estimate of your potential LTC costs, the next question is how to pay for them. Relying on a single funding source can be risky. Most comprehensive plans involve a combination of the following strategies.
1. Self-Funding with Personal Savings
This strategy involves earmarking a portion of your retirement portfolio to cover potential LTC costs.
- Pros: Maximum flexibility and control over your assets. No need to pay insurance premiums.
- Cons: A long care event can decimate your savings, leaving little for a surviving spouse or heirs. It requires a substantial nest egg, often well over what is needed for a standard retirement. You'll need to decide how long will my money last under the added strain of care costs.
- Best for: Individuals with significant assets ($2M+) who can absorb a multi-year care cost without jeopardizing their financial stability.
2. Long-Term Care Insurance
LTC insurance is a specific type of policy designed to cover the costs of care. You pay premiums in exchange for a defined benefit if you need care later.
- Pros: Protects your retirement assets from being spent down on care. Provides a dedicated pool of funds.
- Cons: Premiums can be expensive and may increase over time. You may pay for a policy you never use.
- Best for: Those with moderate assets who want to protect their savings. A long-term care insurance calculator can help you weigh the costs and benefits. Hybrid policies that combine life insurance with an LTC rider are also a popular alternative.
3. Government Programs (Medicaid & VA)
Medicaid is the largest single payer of long-term care services in the U.S., but it's a safety net program with strict financial eligibility rules.
- Pros: Can cover 100% of nursing home costs for those who qualify.
- Cons: You must spend down nearly all of your assets to become eligible. Your choice of facilities may be limited to those that accept Medicaid. The Medicaid spend-down calculator can illustrate this difficult process.
- Best for: Individuals with very low income and assets. Veterans may also qualify for specific aid through the VA's long-term care benefit program.
4. Home Equity
For many retirees, home equity is their largest asset. A reverse mortgage or home equity line of credit (HELOC) can be used to fund in-home care, allowing you to age in place.
- Pros: Access to a large pool of capital without having to sell your home immediately.
- Cons: The loan balance grows over time, reducing the equity left to your heirs. It is a loan that must eventually be repaid, typically when the homeowner sells the house or passes away.
- Best for: Homeowners with significant equity who are determined to remain in their homes.
Why LTC Inflation Is a Critical Planning Factor
A crucial input in this calculator is the long-term care inflation rate. Historically, the cost of care services has risen much faster than the general rate of inflation (CPI). While general inflation might average 2.5-3%, LTC inflation has often been in the 4-5% range or higher.
This difference has a profound impact on future costs due to the power of compounding.
Consider this scenario: An individual is 65 years old today and projects they might need care at age 85. The current annual cost for an assisted living facility is $64,200.
- At a 3% general inflation rate, that cost would be $116,000 in 20 years.
- At a 5% LTC-specific inflation rate, that same cost would be $170,000 in 20 years.
That's a staggering $54,000 difference for a single year of care. Over a three-year care period, the gap widens to over $160,000. This is why using a dedicated, higher inflation rate for LTC planning is essential. The primary drivers of this high inflation are the rising cost of skilled labor, increased demand from an aging population, and advancing medical technology used in care facilities. Ignoring this factor can leave your retirement needs calculator projection dangerously short.
The Math Behind Your Long-Term Care Projection
The calculator uses several core formulas to estimate your future costs and potential funding gap. It projects the future cost of care based on inflation, grows your current savings, and then calculates the difference.
The first step is to project the annual cost of care into the future, from today until the age you expect to need it.
Projected Annual Cost at Start = Current Annual Cost × (1 + LTC Inflation Rate) ^ Years Until Care is Needed
Where:
- Current Annual Cost = The cost of your chosen care type in today's dollars.
- LTC Inflation Rate = The annual rate at which you expect care costs to increase.
- Years Until Care is Needed = The difference between the age you might need care and your current age.
Next, the calculator determines the total cost over the entire care period. Since costs continue to inflate each year, it calculates the cost for each year of care and sums them up.
Total Projected Cost = Sum of (Projected Annual Cost for each year of care)
To see if you can cover this cost, the calculator projects the future value of any savings you've set aside.
Future Value of LTC Savings = Current LTC Savings × (1 + Savings Annual Return) ^ Years Until Care is Needed
Where:
- Current LTC Savings = The amount you have already saved specifically for long-term care.
- Savings Annual Return = The expected annual growth rate of your LTC investments.
Finally, if your projected savings don't cover the total projected cost, the calculator estimates the monthly savings required to close that gap.
Monthly Savings Needed = Funding Gap × [Monthly Savings Rate / ((1 + Monthly Savings Rate) ^ Total Months - 1)]
Where:
- Funding Gap = Total Projected Cost - Future Value of LTC Savings.
- Monthly Savings Rate = Your annual return on savings divided by 12.
- Total Months = The number of months you have until care is needed.
Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the questions people usually have after running the retirement calculator.
1What services are considered "long-term care"?
Long-term care involves a range of services and support for your personal care needs. Most long-term care is not medical care but rather assistance with the basic personal tasks of everyday life, called Activities of Daily Living (ADLs), such as bathing, dressing, eating, and using the bathroom.
2Does Medicare cover long-term care expenses?
This is a common and costly misconception. Medicare does not pay for long-term custodial care. It may cover short-term, skilled nursing care in a facility for a limited time (up to 100 days) following a qualifying hospital stay, but it does not cover the costs of assisted living or ongoing nursing home stays. For more details on healthcare costs, see how much does healthcare cost in retirement.
3Is long-term care insurance worth the cost?
It depends on your financial situation. For those with a net worth between $300,000 and $2 million, it can be a valuable tool to protect assets. For those with fewer assets, the premiums may be unaffordable, and for those with more, self-insuring may be a better option. Use a long-term care insurance calculator to analyze the trade-offs.
4Are long-term care expenses tax-deductible?
Yes, qualified long-term care expenses can be tax-deductible as medical expenses if you itemize deductions. The amount you can deduct is limited to the extent that your total medical expenses exceed 7.5% of your Adjusted Gross Income (AGI). Premiums for qualified LTC insurance policies are also deductible up to certain age-based limits.
5How long does the average person need long-term care?
While it varies widely, government data suggests that someone turning 65 today has almost a 70% chance of needing some type of long-term care service. Among those who need it, the average duration of care is about three years. Women typically need care for longer (3.7 years) than men (2.2 years).
6Can I use my IRA or 401(k) to pay for long-term care?
Yes, you can withdraw funds from your traditional IRA or 401(k) to pay for LTC. However, these withdrawals are generally taxed as ordinary income, meaning you'll need to withdraw more than the actual cost to cover the tax bill. A $100,000 care cost could require a $125,000 withdrawal, depending on your tax bracket. Using a Roth IRA, which offers tax-free qualified withdrawals, is a more efficient option. See our IRA calculator to model potential withdrawals.
7What is the difference between assisted living and a nursing home?
Assisted living is for individuals who need help with daily activities but do not need skilled medical care. It provides a residential setting with support services. A nursing home provides a higher level of care, including 24/7 skilled nursing services for individuals with complex medical needs.
Next Steps
Estimating your potential long-term care costs is a vital part of a comprehensive retirement plan. Use the calculator's results to start a conversation with your family and financial advisor.
From here, you can explore how this potential expense impacts your overall financial picture. See how it affects your portfolio's longevity with the how long will my money last calculator or test different spending scenarios with the retirement withdrawal calculator. You can also determine a sustainable withdrawal strategy with the safe withdrawal rate calculator.
Last updated: July 2026